|
Recommended on June
25, 2001 at $0.12 |
Interview
with Alex Gennin, CEO First Capital International
This
report is based upon information which Lanzet Global Securities
Corporation believes to be reliable. However, we cannot guarantee
the accuracy or completeness of its contents. This report is not
intended to contain a complete analysis of every material fact
concerning the subject company, its industry or securities, and we
assume that it will be read in conjunction with other available
reports and data. The opinions expressed herein are expressed as
of the date hereof and are subject to change without notice. No
investor should assume that reliance on the views, opinions or
recommendations contained herein will produce profitable results.
Lanzet Global Securities Corporation and or its employees and
affiliates may have positions in securities which are referred to
herein and may make purchases or sales thereof while this report
is in circulation. Investing in junior securities is speculative
and carries a high degree of risk. This is not an offer of
solicitation to purchase shares of the company. This information
may not be used in any jurisdiction in which shares of the company
have not been exempted/registered. Please consult your broker to
determine the legality of your purchase or sale. Safe Harbor
Disclaimer: Certain statements contained herein constitute
forward-looking statements within the meaning of Section 27A of
the Securities Act and Section 21E of the Exchange Act. Such
statements include, without limitation, statements regarding
business and financing plans, business trends and future operating
revenues and expenses. Although Lanzet Global believes that the
statements are reasonable, it can give no assurance that such
expectations will prove to be correct. Forward-looking statements
are typically identified by the words: believe, expect,
anticipate, intend, estimate and similar expressions, or which by
their nature refer to future events. Lanzet Global Securities
Corporation has served as a third party financial advisor to this
Company during the last six months and as such has received
financial compensation from a shareholder of First Capital of
200,000 shares of common stock.
RECOMMENDATION
Purchase
of First Capital International, Inc. (OTC BB-FCAI-$0.21875);
(Berlin Stock Exchange - FCAI.BE); (NEWEX Boerse AG - FCAI.EX) is
recommended for aggressive high reward/risk investors. Our
24-month price target for the shares is $3.50, based on potential
earning power of $0.35 per share five years out and the garnering
of a P/E of 10. This prospective multiple, we feel, has the
possibility of significantly widening over time, as First Capital
effectively demonstrates that it can generate a strong and growing
stream of income. We used a modest P/E to discount the expected
heavy flow of earnings five years out as well as to adequately
reflect the high degree of projected risk inherent in investing in
relatively unseasoned companies.
First
Capital management, we believe, has selected wisely both as to the
basic business -- communications - and its geographic locality,
Eastern Europe, with a particular focus on the more stable Baltic
region. Essentially, First Capital has placed itself in the path
of lucrative, sustainable and above-average growth. Bolstering the
core telecommunications segment is the shift to lower cost
Voice-over-IP (VoIP) technology and the simultaneous opening of
the telecommunications market to new participants, technology and
innovations as companies forming the traditional wire line
telephone monopoly go the way of the horse and buggy. The initial
service territory, the Baltic region, and selected points East are
grossly under-served in regard to their communications needs. This
provides the wherewithal for projected annual growth of 100% for
at least the next five years that would eventually be measured in
hundreds of millions of minutes of local, national and long
distance service. The favorable backdrop is anchored by the
following major themes:
Low
per capita density of telephones in its operating
territory ---- about 18 per hundred people vis-à-vis the
50 to 60 for developed countries;
The
dramatic narrowing of the aforementioned usage gap over
the next decade as the economies of Eastern European
nations respond to the introduction of free market
policies; and
The
expected quantum shift in demand flow to the services
provided (VoIP) by First Capital because of the present
sharp price differential of 50% for similar quality and
convenience. While we anticipate price decreases for
telephone service by the traditional carriers, these
should take place over an extended period of time because
this strategy would allow them to maximize their revenue
and profit flow from what is rapidly becoming an outmoded
infrastructure. Moreover, growth in usage for the VoIP
players as well as likely reduction in cost should more
than compensate for a projected contraction in price.
In
our view, First Capital has already setup the infrastructure to
successfully compete in this burgeoning marketplace. Corporate
management has first hand knowledge of the people, customs,
language, and business opportunities in these localities.
Strategic partnerships and alliances with the best positioned
players in the communications business (locally) have been entered
into. These entities can help First Capital build market share
through the cross selling of VoIP services to an established
customer base. Stress has been placed on partnering with
indigenous companies that have demonstrated the ability to both
build and service an expanding base of customers that should be
highly receptive to purchase relevant new telecommunications
services. Because the chosen partners are already conducting
business in the locality, First Capital’s operating cost should
be substantially lower than other potential competitors reflecting
the aforementioned economies of scale. Since the partners have the
capability of making significant incremental profits from the
split of VoIP revenues, they are greatly incentivized to do the
necessary marketing and offer customer support services. Moreover,
the marketing costs are largely passed on to the local partners,
thereby making this cost heavily linked to success and not an
onerous burden to First Capital.
The
potential for serious glitches has been significantly lessened, in
our view, by the institution of stringent accounting controls and
financial policies combined with the recruitment of a seasoned
local management cadre who are well incentivized to be results
oriented through their share positions and stock options.
Therefore, First Capital has come up with a highly effective
“cookie cutter” approach to profitably expanding its core
business throughout the former CIS territory. Eventually, this
would provide the company with a total market of approximately 200
million people who are in serious need of affordable
communications services. Presently, the size of this market is
large ---- about U.S. $3 billion and growing at a yearly rate of
about 25%. Therefore, if First Capital achieves its goal of a 2%
market share, the company’s revenues and pretax profits have the
capability of being in the vicinity of U.S. $130 million and U.S.
$58 million respectively five years out.
Succinctly,
First Capital can acquire existing operating entities in its core
business and targeted operating territory, by paying up to one
times current revenues and four times current earnings. Therefore,
making acquisitions with a total cost of U.S. $8 million has the
capability of generating initial revenues and net income of $8
million and $2 million respectively. By having greater access to
the global capital markets as well as to more innovative
technology and management prowess, the acquired companies have the
capability of exponentially growing their business. Our estimates
indicate that First Capital has the potential wherewithal to
generate revenues and net income of U.S. $130 million and U.S. $38
million respectively in fiscal 2006. First Capital could generate
earnings per share of U.S. $0.35 that year, based on the total
number of shares outstanding post financing and the number of
shares issued to acquire the aforementioned companies. We are
basing our fiscal year 2006 per share estimate on approximately
110 million shares outstanding. We believe that the Board of
Directors has set the long-range objective of a share price of
between U.S. $15 to U.S. $20 for First Capital common. Therefore,
we feel that the company will institute a reverse stock split but
would do so after the company starts generating a flow of revenue
and net income to support such action.
Of
prime importance, First Capital is a U.S. based company that
follows U.S. accounting and investor relations policies. Investors
can receive input on the fundamentals of this company from top
echelon corporate executives who are located in Houston, Texas,
and who are excellent communicators. First Capital has positioned
itself well to introduce its shares to European investor by its
listing on the Berlin Stock Exchange and the NEWEX (New Europe)
Exchange. This should help First Capital to fully participate in
two major European investment themes:
The
increasing popularity of equities, as trillions of dollars
of wealth are in the process of being transferred to a new
generation of risk takers who have not been traumatized by
world wars and a major depression; and
The
quest for meaningful capital appreciation not an assured
income stream through the purchase of shares in companies
that have above-average growth potential. By necessity,
this would entail investment in companies that are either
linked to new technologies or the emerging Eastern
European markets, because companies in traditional
businesses in Western Europe generally do not have
above-average growth dynamics. First Capital provides
participation in both of these desirable segments.
We
believe that a shift in global investor sentiment is taking place
towards Europe, vis-a-vis the U.S. Europe offers significantly
grater growth potential in regard to both GDP and corporate
profits. Markets such as Russia are poised to benefit from the
strength over the last 12 months in the price of crude oil, which
should bolster that nation’s foreign reserve position. The
aforementioned should help that nation’s currency and accelerate
its economic activity.
Accordingly,
we recommend purchase of First Capital for aggressive investors
seeking capital gains potential of 10-or-more-fold over the next
two years.
THE
COMPANY
First
Capital’s business is situated in the Eastern European
(predominantly the Baltic region) market focusing on Internet
Service Provider (“ISP”) and Voice over IP (VoIP)
communications technology. Its base of activity is being
selectively expanded by the purchase of favorably situated Central
and Eastern European Internet and telecommunications companies in
this newly deregulated market. Within the next two years, we
believe that First Capital should become the dominant player in
VoIP in the Baltic region, reflecting the expertise and contacts
of the management team and the leveraging of current and future
acquisitions and strategic partnerships in this region. The market
chosen by the company is large (approximately 200 million people)
and is still virtually untouched by the VoIP wave. Profit margins
for VoIP are in the vicinity of 20% to 30%. In our view, VoIP
profitability should be maintained at a high level for at least
the next three to five years because it should take a long time
for competitive forces to address the supply/demand imbalance, and
because traditional carriers showed be slow to embrace a
technology that has the capabilities of substantially lowering
their return on investment. We believe that First Capital has the
capability of building revenues and pretax income to U.S. $130
million and U.S. $58 million respectively in the fifth year of
operation. Profitability should be achieved in the initial year of
operation, in our view.
AN
IMPORTANT INNOVATION
In
early 1995, the commercial feasibility of Internet Protocol (IP)
telephony was established by the introduction of Internet Phone
software. Internet telephony comprises a wide range of
communications services such as voice, video, data facsimile and
voice --- messaging applications that are transported over the
Internet as opposed to the public switched telephone network
(therefore, calls are not subject to regional calling charges).
The growth of VoIP is starting to emerge in Eastern Europe because
it offers a viable cost effective alternate to expensive
conventional long - distance telephone calls. Accordingly,
International VoIP call volumes are increasing rapidly. For
instance, a study by the Probe Research group notes that
International VoIP call volume was 2.6 billion minutes in 1999, a
quantum leap from the 1998 total of 150 million. VoIP is changing
the dynamics of the market. Currently, real-time, toll-quality
voice and fax communications are possible over the Internet and IP
data networks. The Yankee Group forecasts that VoIP will achieve
“mainstream popularity” in the business world this year.
Conservative industry estimates indicate a four-fold jump in voice
traffic over the next three years.

By
the Year 2005, Probe Research estimates that 428 billion minutes
of voice traffic will be carried on the Internet. This
transformation is taking place now. The Yankee Group indicates
that Internet telephony service providers such as Dialpad.com and
Net2Phone are signing up 30,000 to 50,000 new customers a day. The
largest market for VoIP calls is international phone calls. Just
1.7 billion minutes of International calls were carried over the
Internet in 1999, according to TeleGeography. This was
approximately 2% of the total - it is expected to approach 6
billion minutes, or approximately 5% of the total, in the Year
2001. The attached charts and tables illustrate the growth of this
market.




VoIP
is equal to the traditional carriers in reliability and quality
and is superior on cost. Momentum is expected to remain high going
forward. First Capital management has been perceptive in building
a business around the new technology and, in our view, has
established a competitive edge over most potential competitors.
THE
SERVICE TERRITORY
The
Baltic Region --- Estonia, Latvia, Lithuania and St. Petersburg
--- represents a major business opportunity for First Capital
because of high international call tariffs. Table 1 shows the
substantial cost advantage of VoIP over regular service for making
calls from Estonia to other countries in Europe and to the U.S.
The table also shows the cost of making these calls for the
service provider. The difference between that cost and the price
charged indicate that this business should support a hefty gross
margin.
TABLE
1
THE
Cost of Calling From Estonia
Major
Directions of Outbound Traffic
VoIP
Regular Service VoIP VoIP *Proposed
|
Regions
|
Tele2
USD
|
Eesti
Telefon USD
|
Uninet
USD
|
STV
USD
|
ANET
EESTI USD*
|
Cost
USD
|
|
Finland
|
0.11
|
0.17
|
0.11
|
0.10
|
0.105
|
0.06
|
|
Sweden
|
0.08
|
0.17
|
0.12
|
0.11
|
0.09
|
0.05
|
|
Moscow,
St. Petersburg
|
0.21
|
0.42
|
0.35
|
0.21
|
0.20
|
0.10
|
|
Russia
(other)
|
0.29
|
0.42
|
0.42
|
0.28
|
0.24
|
0.12
|
|
Russia
(private networks)
|
0.29
|
1.33
|
1.14
|
--
|
0.24
|
0.12
|
|
Germany
|
0.19
|
0.28
|
0.20
|
0.18
|
0.18
|
0.069
|
|
UK
|
0.13
|
0.33
|
0.22
|
0.13
|
0.12
|
0.069
|
|
USA
|
0.20
|
0.50
|
0.36
|
0.36
|
0.19
|
0.06
|
|
Latvia
|
0.22
|
0.28
|
0.22
|
0.22
|
0.22
|
0.18
|
|
Lithuania
|
0.24
|
0.28
|
0.25
|
0.24
|
0.24
|
0.20
|
Sources:
Baltic
News Service, 30 November 2000, 16:14
PRESS.COM,
30 November 2000, 17:19
We
stress that the cost imbalance between VoIP and regular service
for other Eastern European localities mirrors that of Estonia.
THE
POTENTIAL MARKET
Essentially,
the RNE (Russia and New Europe) countries comprise First
Capital’s potential market. These 27 countries have a combined
population of more than 400 million people and geographically
extend from the Czech Republic in the West to the Pacific Ocean in
the East. However, the company plans to currently concentrate on
approximately half this market, namely those that are politically
stable and have a respect for private capital.
These
countries are well situated to benefit from ready access to
Western Europe’s capital and technology and the large customer
base situated in Asia and the European Union. These nations have
many favorable attributes including established infrastructures,
technological expertise, substantial natural resources, a
well-educated populace, and a significant wage advantage over
Western European workers.
For
about 50 years, the economic development of these countries, were
retarded by their adherence to centrally planned economies
administered under ill-conceived socialist or communist regimes.
The end-result was the nationalization of industries, a
non-functioning distribution system because of government
administered prices, limited external trade, poor productivity,
eroding world competitiveness, a reduction in living levels with
the developed world and a dearth of economic incentives for
businesses and individuals. A poor allocation mechanism for
investment resources combined with the elimination of market
forces produced a low level of output and income per capita.
Economically,
these countries have a substantial gap to bridge between
themselves and those in the West. If these countries adhere to
their present course, the catch-up period should take decades. Our
contention is that most RNE countries should be able to show real
annual growth rates that are multiples of those in Western Europe
(about 5% for RNE countries versus 1.5%). Finding sustainable
growth opportunities in Western Europe, we feel, is going to be an
extremely difficult task. Therefore, our view is that aggressive
international investors will increasingly explore the Eastern
European landscape for above-average investment potential.
A
prime area for the company is the Ukraine, which is the
second largest emerging market in Europe. This country’s
population of 52.5 million makes it the largest market between
Russia and Germany. The split from the former USSR took place in
1991, officially ending 200 years of Russian control. There is a
high measure of political stability in the Ukraine, which was the
first former republic of the USSR to have a peaceful and orderly
transfer of power between two democratically elected presidents.
Domestically, the Armed Forces have avoided violence, refusing to
interfere in internal political disputes. Ukraine has committed
itself to a foreign policy of non-alignment. Formerly the third
largest nuclear power in Europe, Ukraine abandoned nuclear arms by
transferring its tactical nuclear stocks to Russia in 1992 and by
removing and destroying its strategic nuclear weapons starting in
1994.
The
country has abundant natural resources, featuring large deposits
of coal, manganese, and natural gas. Ukraine is also a major
producer of iron and steel, heavy machinery and ships. It is also
one of the world’s leading farming regions, comprising 18% of
the total agricultural output of the former Soviet Union. This
nation is self-sufficient in agricultural products, being a net
exporter of meat, milk, grain, and vegetables. The industrial
complex is undergoing a metamorphosis from being an important
supplier of armaments to being a producer of commercial products.
A
major competitive advantage of Ukraine vis-à-vis most other
emerging markets is the existence of a highly trained,
well-educated and motivated labor force. Many leading scientific
institutes that were an important component of the former Soviet
military industrial complex are located there. Ukraine has
hundreds of technical schools and more that 100 institutions of
higher education with a total aggregate enrollment of about 1.7
million students. Substantial numbers of students received degrees
in applied sciences, including chemistry, physics, and
mathematics. Ukraine is a global leader in technical and natural
sciences research.
St.
Petersburg
is one of the Russian Federation’s main centers of business and
industry. There is a considerable presence of foreign businessmen
in this city. They play a pivotal role in the business community
and require telecommunications services. It has had a strong flow
of foreign investment because it is perceived to have little
country risk and has a large potential for above-average economic
growth.
The
urban population of St. Petersburg is about 5.2 million, making it
the second largest city in the Russian Federation. There are
approximately 8.5 million people in the region. It is also the
largest seaport in that nation. Key business sectors are
engineering, chemicals, consumer goods (textiles, apparel, shoes,
beer and food) and printing.
Estonia,
with a population of 1.5 million people, is considered to be the
most stable (politically) of the Baltic States. It has been
functioning as a democracy for more than 10 years. In November
1999, Estonia joined the World Trade Organization.
Estonia
has evolved into a technology model for the rest of Europe,
literally leapfrogging to Internet technologies because of the
dearth of a communications infrastructure. This country has 214
Internet connections per 10,000 people, placing it ahead of
Germany and slightly behind the United Kingdom. Free public
Web-access points around the country are being set up by the
government. Aiding Estonia’s technology push is its proximity to
the technologically advanced Nordic countries.
Lithuania
has a population of 3.6 million. This country is striving to
privatize large state-owned utilities and to reduce the current
account deficit. The telecommunications sector is being upgraded,
with a national fiber-optic cable inter-urban trunk system nearing
completion, improvements being made in rural exchanges and the
installation of a mobile cellular system. Prime Minister Kubilius,
who was installed in November 1999, has made a commitment to
fiscal restraint, economic stabilization, and the acceleration of
economic reform. Demand for prepaid VoIP cards is largely
unsatiated. Deregulation of the telecommunications sector is
likely to take place in 2002.
Latvia
has a population of 2.4 million. This country is preparing for EU
membership by 2003. Privatization of large state-owned utilities
is being pushed. In 2002, deregulation of the telecommunications
sector is expected.
Kaliningrad
is Russia’s smallest region, located along the Baltic Sea
between Poland and Lithuania. Approximately 400,000 people live in
metropolitan Kaliningrad and there are about one million people in
the region. With the breakup of the former USSR, Kaliningrad was
cut off from Russia proper.
Kaliningrad
is a Special Economic Zone, providing tax incentives to local and
foreign investors. It is the only port in the west of Russia to be
ice-free all year round. It is considered to be a gateway to the
Russian Federation. Kaliningrad is poised for a high rate of
economic growth, in our view.
THE
MARKETING PLAN
The
company’s marketing plan revolves around building strategic
relationships with Cable TV companies in the region and cross
selling VoIP services to an established customer base. Management
has been very aggressive in marketing the company’s
telecommunication services in its business territories. Consider
the following recent developments:
Entered
into an agreement with a large Estonian Commercial Bank to
provide VoIP services to the customer base of the bank
(about 200,000 card holders). The bank will market these
services directly to their customers. First Capital
anticipates that 10,000 customers will opt for its services,
which carry a monthly billing charge of U.S. $15.
Initial
5-year marketing agreements (with a 5-year extension) have
been signed with two Estonian cable TV operators with a
combined customer base of about 30,000. Within two to three
months, the number of potential customers to First Capital
could be in the vicinity of 3,000 (the minimum monthly
billing charge is U.S. $15).
Signed
a joint venture agreement to market VoIP services with the
St. Petersburg ISP company, “LANK,” with First Capital
owning 51% of the venture. LANK has an existing customer
base. LANK management has indicated a minimum potential,
within 12 months of operation, of one million minutes per
month at U.S. $0.35 per minute in pre-paid Tel Com card
fees.
Entered
into an agreement with the largest Lithuanian independent
mobile service contract reseller, Medifone, to create a
joint venture company. This 51%-owned joint venture plans to
offer VoIP and ISP services to a large customer base. The
joint venture plans to open 13 gateways in Poland, one in
Belarus and one in Latvia. Within twelve months, company
management believes that the joint venture is capable of
generating about U.S. $500,000 a month in gross sales.
EXISTING
BUSINESSES
The
company’s existing entities and relationships include:
an
Estonian ISP, ANET EESTI AS. This was the company’s first
acquisition (completed in April 2000) in the region,
comprising a platform for further expansion. ANET had
trailing 12- month revenues of approximately U.S. $300,000.
This entity was starved for capital. Therefore, having
access to the financial capabilities of First Capital should
enable ANET to significantly increase the scope of its
business.
TGK
-LINK AS, an Estonian VoIP operator. First Capital presently
holds a 65% interest in TGK-LINK (and has an option to buy
an additional 25%). This entity has the capability of
enabling First Capital to establish itself in Estonia as a
major VoIP operator, with further expansion of services to
the St. Petersburg area. The company is also developing a
VoIP Telecommunications platform for a major Estonian bank
that should enable its customers to utilize First
Capital’s existing VoIP network.
Joint
venture agreement with Estonian Cable TV companies that
allows ANET to offer Internet Service, VoIP and prepaid
phone cards to its 14,000 customers. The Cable TV operators
are seeking to aggressively boost its customer base to
50,000 from 30,000 currently. A capital infusion would be
needed in order to implement cable modem infrastructure
through the network.
Andevis,
an Estonian software company that specializes in e-commerce
solutions. Provides e-commerce solutions, database mining
and develops service applications software. This entity was
purchased in July 2000. Its 15 programmers generate about
U.S. $300,000 in revenues. Andevis greatly strengthens First
Capital’s infrastructure in the Baltic Region. It provides
a competent technical team that can develop and maintain
First Capital’s ISP and IP Telephony businesses. Numbered
among the customers of Andevis is the Estonian Telephone
Company for Personnel, Accounting, Automation and Technical
Development projects.
ADDITIONAL
SITES (Extraneous Activities)
The
company has developed five additional sites, all of which are
fully operational and have their own management team. These
businesses do not require any major assistance from First Capital.
The company is seeking to either sell or spinoff (into public
companies) these sites. We believe that the proceeds for some of
the sites could exceed U.S. $1 million. Some of the sites may
prove to be exciting standalone entities. First Capital
shareholders would receive shares in these spinoffs. Simplifying
the company should boost the valuation for First Capital stock
because it would make the company a pure telecommunications play.
FINANCES
First
Capital is seeking to raise U.S. $10 million in equity. Use of
proceeds:
Acquisitions/Improvements
$8.1 million
Cost
of Operation $0.9 million
Working
Capital $1.0
million
Total
$10.0 million
ASSUMPTIONS
The
first and key assumption is that First Capital is able to complete
a U.S. $10 million financing. Then, First Capital would proceed to
make the acquisitions and improvements in Estonia,
Vilnius/Lithuania, St. Petersburg, Riga/Latvia, Kaliningrad,
Moscow, Russia, and Kiev/Ukraine. We are projecting that First
Capital would make the contemplated acquisitions for a total of 3
million shares of common stock.
The
second is that usage costs are approximately 40% of Gross
Revenues, except for St. Petersburg, which is forecast at
approximately 70% because of the need to compensate a marketing
company that is engaged to generate revenues.
Starting
in month 3, the number of marketing personnel at each location is
15 marketers who will be compensated on a success basis. The
marketers will concentrate on commercial accounts to generate
revenues. We forecast that each marketer can bring in U.S. $20,000
per month.
Marketing
ads should start in month 4. These ads should be seen in the
following publications: Äripäev, Eesti Päevaleht, Vesti/Nedelja
Plus and Delovõe Vedomosti. The initial cost of the media ads is
U.S. $12,000 per month. This should increase to approximately U.S.
$20,000 per month in Year 3 and then decrease to approximately
U.S. $15,000 per month in Years 4 and 5.
The
Administrative Expenses are placed at approximately U.S. $70,000
per month in Year 1, increasing by U.S. $20,000 a month annually,
with the exception of Year 3 where they are budgeted at U.S.
$30,000 per month. Included in Administrative Expenses are the
operating expenses of the U.S. Headquarters.
The
projected tax rate is 35%. The number of shares outstanding is
forecast at 110 million, which is the 76 million shares presently
outstanding, the 33 million shares issued in the proposed U.S.
$10,000,000 financing and the 3 million shares issued to complete
the contemplated acquisitions.
Table
2 outlines the projected stream of income for First Capital for
the initial five years that follow the projected U.S. $10 million
capital infusion.
TABLE
2
POTENTIAL
EARNING POWER OF FIRST CAPITAL FOLLOWING CAPITAL INFUSION
| |
|
|
YR
1
|
|
YR
2
|
|
YR
3
|
|
YR
4
|
|
YR
5
|
|
REVENUE:
|
|
|
Growth
|
|
Growth
|
|
Growth
|
|
Growth
|
|
|
Gross
Revenue
|
|
|
Rate
|
|
Rate
|
|
Rate
|
|
Rate
|
|
| |
Estonia
|
|
2,300,800
|
50%
|
3,450,100
|
30%
|
4,485,130
|
30%
|
5,830,669
|
30%
|
7,579,870
|
| |
St.
Petersburg/Russia
|
|
3,632,100
|
100%
|
7,264,200
|
20%
|
8,717,040
|
20%
|
10,460,448
|
20%
|
12,552,538
|
| |
Vilnius/Lithuania
|
|
1,939,000
|
50%
|
2,908,500
|
100%
|
5,817,000
|
30%
|
7,562,100
|
30%
|
9,830,730
|
| |
Kiev/Ukraine
|
|
500,000
|
100%
|
1,000,000
|
300%
|
4,000,000
|
100%
|
8,000,000
|
50%
|
12,000,000
|
| |
Kaliningrad
|
|
0
|
|
200,000
|
300%
|
800,000
|
100%
|
1,600,000
|
50%
|
2,400,000
|
| |
Riga/Latvia
|
|
0
|
|
400,000
|
300%
|
1,600,000
|
100%
|
3,200,000
|
50%
|
4,800,000
|
| |
Moscow/Russia
|
|
0
|
|
3,000,000
|
200%
|
9,000,000
|
200%
|
27,000,000
|
200%
|
81,000,000
|
| |
Total
|
|
8,371,900
|
|
18,222,800
|
|
34,419,170
|
|
63,653,217
|
|
130,163,137
|
|
Less:
Usage Cost
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Estonia
@ 40% of Gross
|
|
(920,320)
|
|
(1,380,040)
|
|
(1,794,052)
|
|
(2,332,268)
|
|
(3,031,948)
|
| |
St.
Petersburg/Russia @ 70% of Gross
|
|
(2,542,470)
|
|
(5,084,940)
|
|
(6,101,928)
|
|
(7,322,314)
|
|
(8,786,776)
|
| |
Vilnius/Lithuania
40% of Gross
|
|
(775,600)
|
|
(1,163,400)
|
|
(2,326,800)
|
|
(3,024,840)
|
|
(3,932,292)
|
| |
Kiev/Ukraine
40% of Gross
|
|
(200,000)
|
|
(400,000)
|
|
(1,600,000)
|
|
(3,200,000)
|
|
(4,800,000)
|
| |
Kaliningrad
40% of Gross
|
|
0
|
|
(80,000)
|
|
(320,000)
|
|
(640,000)
|
|
(960,000)
|
| |
Riga/Latvia
40% of Gross
|
|
0
|
|
(160,000)
|
|
(640,000)
|
|
(1,280,000)
|
|
(1,920,000)
|
| |
Moscow/Russia
40% of Gross
|
|
0
|
|
(1,200,000)
|
|
(3,600,000)
|
|
(10,800,000)
|
|
(32,400,000)
|
| |
Total
|
|
(4,438,390)
|
|
(9,468,380)
|
|
(16,382,780)
|
|
(28,599,421)
|
|
(55,831,016)
|
|
Revenue
less Usage Cost
|
|
3,933,510
|
|
8,754,420
|
|
18,036,390
|
|
35,053,796
|
|
74,332,121
|
|
EXPENSES:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Acquisition
Costs
|
|
(200,000)
|
|
(1,800,000)
|
|
0
|
|
(2,000,000)
|
|
(2,000,000)
|
|
Equipment
Costs (Cisco Platforms + Routers + Upgrade)
|
|
(100,000)
|
|
(240,000)
|
|
(360,000)
|
|
(240,000)
|
|
(240,000)
|
|
Operating
Expenses:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Commissions
@ 5% of Gross
|
|
(418,595)
|
|
(911,140)
|
|
(1,720,959)
|
|
(3,182,661)
|
|
(6,508,157)
|
|
Telecommunication
Lines
|
|
(360,000)
|
|
(600,000)
|
|
(1,160,000)
|
|
(1,160,000)
|
|
(1,600,000)
|
|
Software
|
|
(35,000)
|
|
(80,000)
|
|
(50,000)
|
|
(30,000)
|
|
(30,000)
|
|
Customary
Benefits (Auto, Travel, etc.) per loc @ $3,500/mo
|
|
(168,000)
|
|
(210,000)
|
|
(210,000)
|
|
(210,000)
|
|
(210,000)
|
|
Building
& Improvement (includes equipment space)
|
|
(20,000)
|
|
(30,000)
|
|
(30,000)
|
|
(30,000)
|
|
(30,000)
|
|
Rent
(Estonia & Vilnius only) @ $6,000/mo; $2,000/mo per
new loc
|
|
(108,000)
|
|
(240,000)
|
|
(360,000)
|
|
(720,000)
|
|
(720,000)
|
|
Marketing
Staff:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
15
personnel @ 10,000/yr.
|
(500,000)
|
|
(900,000)
|
|
(1,200,000)
|
|
(1,200,000)
|
|
(1,200,000)
|
|
| |
2
manager @ 20,000/yr
|
(160,000)
|
(660,000)
|
(240,000)
|
(1,140,000)
|
(240,000)
|
(1,440,000)
|
(240,000)
|
(1,440,000)
|
(240,000)
|
(1,440,000)
|
|
Marketing
Ads:
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| |
Media:
TV, Radio, Newspaper @ $10,000/mo
|
|
(80,000)
|
|
(1,080,000)
|
|
(1,440,000)
|
|
(1,080,000)
|
|
(1,080,000)
|
| |
Printing
(200,000 pcs per location @ $0.50 ea)
|
|
(100,000)
|
|
(200,000)
|
|
(600,000)
|
|
(600,000)
|
|
(600,000)
|
|
Administrative
Expenses
|
|
(840,000)
|
|
(1,080,000)
|
|
(1,440,000)
|
|
(1,680,000)
|
|
(1,920,000)
|
|
Interest
on Financing
|
|
0
|
|
0
|
|
0
|
|
0
|
|
0
|
| |
Total
Expenses
|
|
(3,089,595)
|
|
(7,611,140)
|
|
(8,810,959)
|
|
(12,372,661)
|
|
(16,378,157)
|
| |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
Pre-tax
Profit
|
|
843,915
|
|
1,143,280
|
|
9,225,432
|
|
22,681,135
|
|
57,953,964
|
Disclaimer
This profile published
by OTC Live, Inc is an independent electronic publication
providing information and factual analysis on selected
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OTC Live, Inc and are not meant to be either investment
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OTC Live, Inc is not a registered investment advisor or a
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or warranty as to the accuracy of the information provided.
Readers should not rely solely on the information contained
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respect to any investment opportunity, including any
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Factual statements in this
publication are made as of the date stated and are subject
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SAFE HARBOR FOR FORWARD-LOOKING
STATEMENTS: Except for historical information contained
herein, the statements on this website and newsletter are
forward-looking statements that are made pursuant to the
safe harbor provisions of the Private Securities Reform Act
of 1995. Forward-looking statements involve known and
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actual results in the future periods to differ materially
from forecasted results. These risks and uncertainties
include, among other things, product price volatility,
product demand, market competition and risk inherent in the
companies operations. You can identify these statements by
the fact that they do not relate strictly to historical or
current facts. They use words such as ``anticipate,''
``estimate,'' ``expect,'' ``project,'' ``intend,''
``plan,", "anticipate", "guess",
"think", "hear", "suggest",
``believe,'' and other words and terms of similar meaning in
connection with any discussion of future operating or
financial performance.
As a suggestion, "Never, ever,
make an investment based solely on what you read in an
online newsletter or Internet bulletin board, especially if
the investment involves a small, thinly-traded company that
isn't well known," said Nancy M. Smith, Director of
SEC's Office of Investor Education and Assistance.
"Assume that the information about these companies is
not trustworthy unless you can prove otherwise through your
own independent research." "Internet Fraud"
is available on the SEC's Web Site, at http://www.sec.gov/consumer/cyberfr.htm. |
|